Articles on the Ongoing Biden Ballot Access Situation in Ohio

Still no resolution to the problem of the Democratic National Convention being held after the Ohio presidential candidate filing deadline of August 7, which could possibly lead to President Biden being excluded from the Ohio General Election ballot.

Here is an analysis that ran in The Hill yesterday.

Here is a commentary on this situation published today in The Ohio Capital Journal.

New Florida Registration Data

As of April 2024, these are the number of registrants in Florida qualified parties: Republican 5,239,600; Democratic 4,346,491; Independent Party 242,330; Libertarian 35,357; Conservative 19,903; Constitution 16,434; No Labels 8,355; Green 7,841; Boricua 5,974; Coalition with a Purpose 3,283; Ecology 2,919; Socialism & Liberation 1,894; Peoples 1,321; Forward 496; independent and miscellaneous 3,530,804.

Percentages are: Republican 38.92%; Democratic 32.28%; Independent Party 1.80%; Libertarian .26%; Conservative .15%; Constitution .12%; No Labels .06%; Green .06%; Boricua .02%; Coalition with a Purpose .02%; Ecology .02%; Socialism & Liberation .01%; Peoples .01%; Forward .00%; independent and miscellaneous 26.23%.

Percentages in October 2023 had been: Republican 37.82%; Democratic 33.11%; Independent Party 1.60%; Libertarian .26%; Conservative .08%; Constitution .08%; Green .06%; No Labels .04%; Boricua .02%; Ecology .02%; Coalition with a Purpose .01%; Socialism & Liberation .01%; Peoples .01%; independent and miscellaneous 26.86%.

The Natural Law Party is also a qualified party, but it had not been when this tally was prepared. Thanks to Tim Thornburn for the data.

Under 1980 Precedent, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. Will Qualify for Post-Election Public Funding if he Gets Over 5%

In 1974 congress passed a law allowing public funding for presidential candidates. It said parties that poll at least 5% for president may receive public funding after the election is over. They also get an equivalent amount for the next presidential election.

In 1980, independent presidential candidate John B. Anderson got 6.7% of the popular vote. Before the election, the Federal Election Commission determined that if he got over 5%, he would qualify for public funding, even though he was an independent, not the nominee of a new or minor party. Anderson went into debt during the 1980 campaign, hoping that he would receive over 5% of the vote and then receive public funding to pay off his campaign debts. His gamble paid off.

Most polls nowadays are showing that Kennedy will get more than 5% of the November 2024 vote.