Primary Season Funds Probably Won’t be Paid Until March 2008

The Federal Election Commission estimates no primary season matching funds will be paid until March 2008. Normally they would be paid on January 1, 2008. However, there isn’t enough money in the Presidential Campaign Federal Fund to pay for primary season matching funds, because not enough taxpayers have been checking the “yes” box on their 1040 forms.

The fund gives highest priority to funding the general election campaigns of the parties that polled at least 5% of the vote in the last presidential election. The fund gives the second highest priority to funding the national conventions of those parties. Primary season matching funds, the only type of federal campaign funds that minor party presidential candidates may routinely receive, have the lowest priority.

Of course, if a candidate is certified for primary season matching funds and knows that he or she will receive them in March or April 2008, that candidate may borrow money, with the expectation of repaying the loan from the proceeds.

The only minor party presidential candidate who is trying to qualify for primary season matching funds is Cynthia McKinney. If Ralph Nader declares later this month, he would also likely attempt to qualify for primary season matching funds. The only major party candidates who have already qualified for primary season matching funds are Republicans John McCain and Tom Tancredo, and Democrats John Edwards, Chris Dodd, and Joe Biden. Although McCain has qualified, he hasn’t said yet whether he would accept them. Most prominent major party candidates are not seeking primary season matching funds because they don’t like the spending restrictions that come with them.

More Lawsuits Over Michigan Presidential Primary

On December 10, a Democratic Party activist sued the Michigan Democratic Party, and the Michigan Secretary of State, over the fact that the Democratic presidential primary will not include Joe Biden, John Edwards, Barack Obama and Bill Richardson. The plaintiff alleges that she wishes to vote for one of them (she doesn’t say which one). Her complaint cites public opinion polling data that shows 44% of Michigan voters who plan to vote in the Democratic primary would like to vote for one of those four.

The case is Martha Hayes v Michigan Democratic Party, 1:07-cv-1237, filed in U.S. District Court, western district, southern division. Thanks to Thomas Jones for this news.

There will be another federal lawsuit filed after the primary by at least one minor political party, over the fact that the list of presidential primary voters will be given to the Democratic and Republican Parties and no one else. The ACLU will sponsor that case.

Massachusetts Special Election Results

On December 11, Massachusetts held a special election for State Senate, Middlesex 4 district. The results: Democrat James Marzilli 59.4%, Republican Brian Cangiamila 36.1%, Constitution Party nominee Thomas Fallon 4.5%.

The same district in November 2006 voted Democratic 66.2%, Republican 33.8%.

Turnout in the special election was 15% of the number of registered voters.

Ohio Special Congressional Election Results

On December 11, Ohio held a special election to fill the vacant U.S. House seat, 5th district. The vote is Latta, Republican, 56.9%; Weirauch, Democrat, 42.9%. No third choice was on the ballot. A declared write-in candidate, John Green, received .2%.

In November 2006, the vote for this seat had been Republican 56.8%, Democratic 43.2%.

Virginia Special Election Results

On December 11, Virginia held a special election to fill the empty U.S. House seat, First District. The results are almost exactly what they were in November 2006. Tonight’s results are: Republican Rob Wittman 63%, Democrat Philip Forgit 35%, independent Lucky Narain 2%.

In November 2006 the results had been: Republican 63.0%, Democratic 35.5%, independent 1.4%.