Leaders of the Democratic Party continue saying they are worried that if Cornel West runs for president as the Green Party nominee, that will cause Donald Trump to win the 2024 election. Then they frequently assert that Jill Stein’s Green candidacy in 2016 caused Donald Trump to win that election. For example, this story says that a few days ago, David Axelrod said, “In 2016 the Green Party played an outsized role in tipping the election to Donald Trump.”
If reporters would do a minimal amount of research, they could point out that the 2016 exit polls show that Hillary Clinton did not lose any state due to the Jill Stein vote. All they need to do is google “Jill Stein exit polls”. Even in Michigan, which was the closest state Trump carried in 2016, the exit polls show that only 25% of the Stein voters said they would have voted for Hillary Clinton if Stein had not been running. And 14% of the Stein voters said they would have voted for Donald Trump if Stein had not been running. So in Michigan, Clinton only lost a net of 11% of the number of Stein voters, which was not enough to change the Michigan outcome.
Elite reporters and political strategists assume wrongly that most voters are ideological, as they themselves are. But political science research on voter behavior has long shown that a large share of voters are not ideological.