Another Pundit Writes About “Spoiling” and Refers to the 1948 Presidential Election

Professor William A. Galston, who is a scholar with the Brookings Institution, recently wrote that the 1948 presidential election is an instance at which minor parties injured the Democratic Party presidential campaign. President Harry Truman was running for re-election as the Democratic nominee, and former Vice-President Henry Wallace was the Progressive Party presidential nominee. Galston says the Wallace campaign hurt Truman, although Truman still won the election.

Pollster Samuel Lubell, who later became a political scientist, intensely studied the 1948 election, and determined that the presence of Henry Wallace in the race not only helped Truman, but that Truman would have lost without Wallace’s campaign.

Professor Galston kindly spoke with me after his piece was published, and he said he was not familar with the Lubell book “The Future of American Politics” that contained the research (published 1950), but that he certainly is aware of Samuel Lubell and that he would obtain the book and read it with interest, although he said he is very skeptical.

Last month, two other commentators wrote about the 1948 election and also did not seem familiar with the Lubell research. See this blog post from last month.

The recent Bookings Institution analysis can’t be linked, but anyone can find it by googling “William Galston” with “Cornel West”.

Mid-Level New York State Court Rules in Favor of Drawing New U.S. House District Boundaries

On July 13, the Appeallate Division of the New York Supreme Court issued a 3-2 ruling in Hoffman v New York State Independent Redistricting Commission, 3rd Div., cv-22-2265. The majority said the districting map imposed by the highest state court in 2022 was only intended to be used for the 2022 election, and now it is appropriate for the redistricting commission (which ordinarly draws the boundaries) to be given a chance to draw new boundaries. The minority opinion says the State Court of Appeals map of 2022 was meant to be good for the remainder of the decade.

The case will be appealed to the highest state court, the State Court of Appeals.

Federal Election Commission Compiles List of Presidential Primary and Congressional Primary Dates

The Federal Election Commission has released this compilation of presidential primary dates, and also congressional primary dates. There is always constant change of presidential primary dates during the odd year before a presidential election. Some dates still aren’t settled. Thanks to Thomas Jones for the link.