Iowa Gubernatorial Poll

A Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll for Governor shows these results: Republican incumbent Kim Reynolds 48%, Democratic nominee Deidre DeJear 31%, Libertarian Rick Stewart 5%, someone else 5%, will not vote 2%, unsure 9%.

There will probably be only three candidates on the ballot, although the petition deadline for independent candidates and the nominees of unqualified parties hasn’t passed yet, so it is possible others could enter the race. See this news story about the poll.

Iowa defines a qualified party as one that got 2% for the office at the top of the ticket (i.e., president in presidential years and Governor in midterm years). No minor party has polled as much as 2% for Iowa Governor since 1970, when the American Independent Party polled 2.39%.

Rebekah Jones’ Ballot Access Lawsuit Wins a Procedural Point

Rebekah Jones is a Florida Democratic candidate for U.S. House, District One. On August 12, a Florida state appeals court stayed the order that votes for her should not be counted in the upcoming primary. Her ballot position had been challenged because it was alleged that while she was living in Maryland last year, she had been a registered independent. She disputes that. See this story.

The appeals court still has not decided the merits of the case, but the fact that it stayed the lower court’s order is a sign that the Appeals court is taking her case seriously. The primary is on August 23. The ballots have already been printed. Jones’ name is on the ballot, but if she doesn’t win her case, there will be signs at the polling places saying her votes won’t be counted.

Georgia Public Service Commissioner Elections Placed Before U.S. Supreme Court

On the evening of August 14, Sunday, the plaintiffs in Rose v Raffensperger asked the U.S. Supreme Court to intervene. This is the case over whether Georgia is violating the federal Voting Rights Act by holding at-large elections for Public Service Commissioner. The U.S. District Court had ruled that at-large elections for this office should no longer be held. That court ruled that Georgia should not hold two such at-large elections in November 2022.

But then the Eleventh Circuit had voted 2-1 that such an order violates the Purcell Principle, the idea that courts should not change the mechanics of election administration too soon before an election. Some lower courts have been expanding the Purcell Principle so that no changes can ever get made in the election year, as a result of a lawsuit. For example, the U.S. District Court in Florida that is hearing the People’s Party ballot access case used the Purcell Principle to reject putting the party’s nominee for Pasco County office on the November ballot.

Here is the U.S. Supreme Court filing in Rose. Thanks to ElectionLawBlog for the link.

Hawaii Holds Primaries for Six Parties

On August 13, Hawaii held primaries for all six qualified parties. Here are the unofficial returns. If one scrolls to the bottom, one can see how many voters chose each party’s primary ballot. For the minor parties, the Green ballot was requested by 1,473 voters, Aloha Aina by 1,051 voters, Libertarian by 598, and Constitution by 188.

In the 2020 Hawaii primaries, there were 1,765 voters who chose a Libertarian primary ballot, 1,014 Green, 5,222 Aloha Aina, 278 Constitution, and 268 American Shopping.