Nate Silver’s 538 blog has posted the 2010 population of some U.S. House districts, those with the largest population in the nation, and those with the smallest. The two most populous districts are Nevada’s 3rd, with 1,002,482 residents; and Utah’s 3rd, with 989,325. The least populous districts are Louisiana’s 2nd, with 511,490; and Rhode Island’s First, with 516,796. See here.
The population estimates are from the 2009 American Community Survey (ACS), which is the Census Bureau’s replacement program for the census long form. Rather than gathering additional detailed population from a large sample every 10 years, the ACS uses a smaller sample every month. Over a 5-year period, the accumulated sample will be equivalent to that from the long form. Beginning next year, the Census Bureau will have enough sample data to produce detailed information based on the ACS from 2006 to 2010. They will not be able to produce the information for the 2010 census, because the long form was not used in 2010. But since it is a rolling sample, they will be able to produce updated information for 2007 to 2011, 2008 to 2012, etc.
A 5-year sample is intended to be large enough to produce reliable estimates for small areas (around 1000 persons).
The Census Bureau can also produce estimates for 3-years (2007-2009), and 1 year (2009) for larger areas (such as congressional districts).
It is conceivable that in the future that the ACS data could be used to trigger mid-decade redistricting under terms of one man, one vote concerns.
How about New Age census gerrymanders every 2 years — or even daily – instantly report all births, deaths, moves ???
The official population gerrymander stuff comes out in Feb. – Mar. 2011.
TO: Jim Riley,
It looks like Los Angeles County will have large changes
in District borders. First, Los Angeles County will have one Board of Equalization District on its own in 2014 election. That County by 2014 will also have 10
Senatorial Districts totally within Los Angeles County
and 21 Assembly District also totally in that County.
Each of these 10 Senatorial District will have two
Assembly Districts within those Senatorial Districts.
There will be 14 Congressional Districts totally within
Los Angeles County in 2012 election.
The City of Los Angeles in 2012 will have three Senatorial Districts and six Assembly District
and four Congressional District with the City limits.
Since San Francisco is losing population, therefore
there will only be one Congressional District and one
Assembly District within that City.
Sincerely, Mark Seidenberg, Vice Chairman, American Independent Party
Follow-up to Jim Riley,
The City of Long Beach, CA will have one Assembly District totally within that City limits in the election
of 2012.
Sincerely, Mark Seidenberg
New gerrymanders in 2011-2012 in ALL States having 2 or more gerrymander seats.
State Population / U.S.A. Rep Seats in such State = X — plus or minus ONE person — sayeth the party hack SCOTUS math MORONS — even with each INSTANTLY obsolete Census
— one more part of the Anti-Democracy stuff in the entire INSANE party hack U.S.A. regime — 435 gerrymander Reps., 50 gerrymander States/100 Senators and 538 gerrymander Prez/VP party hack Electoral College Votes.