Alaska Top-Four Initiative Very Likely to Pass

Alaska still has many postal ballots to count, and as of the evening of November 12, the vote is virtually tied. See the results here. The postal ballots have been much more favorable to Measure Two than the other ballots.

The measure makes it likely that minor party candidates will never qualify for the November ballot for Governor, U.S. Senator, or U.S. House. But it makes it easier for members of unqualified parties to get on the ballot for the legislature, because generally in legislative races there are only two or three candidates who file in the primary. And no one will need a petition to get on the primary ballot.

The measure also institutes ranked choice voting in the general election, but not the primary. The ranked choice voting in the general election extends to the presidential race.

Second Circuit Will Hear Oral Argument in New York Ballot Access Case in Mid-December 2020

The Second Circuit will hear SAM Party v Kosinski, 20-3047, the week of December 14. This is the New York ballot access case filed by the SAM Party, a ballot-qualified party that will go off the ballot if it can’t win judicial relief. The new New York definition of party requires a group to run a presidential candidate and poll 2% of the vote for that candidate. But the SAM Party didn’t have a presidential candidate this year.

Read an Interview With the Presidential Candidate Who Placed Last (Among Those Listed on a Ballot)

In the 2020 election there were 36 individuals who were on a ballot as a presidential candidate. Among those, the candidate who placed last is Zac Scalf, who was only on in Vermont and who received twenty-nine votes. Here is a Reason Magazine interview with Scalf.

Scalf claims to be surprised that anyone voted for him. The interviewer did not point out that he could not have got on the ballot without submitting the names of three Vermont residents who were his candidates for presidential elector. It is likely that the three individuals voted for Scalf, and probably some of the friends of the three elector candidates heard about Scalf and also voted for him.

Texas Has Election Returns for Declared Presidential Write-in Candidates

Texas has already canvassed most of the write-in votes for presidential declared write-in candidates. See the state’s election returns here.

Texas write-ins for president, for the declared candidates, are generally bigger than such write-ins in other states. That is because the names of the write-in declared candidates are conspicuous at the polling places. Brian Carroll of the American Solidarity Party already has over 1,200.