U.S. Supreme Court Accepts Another Racial Gerrymandering Case

On June 27, the U.S. Supreme Court said it will hear McCrory v Harris, 15-1262. This is a North Carolina lawsuit over U.S. House district boundaries. The lower 3-judge U.S. District Court had invalidated the state’s districts, forcing North Carolina to hold a late primary this month just for U.S. House, because the districts had not been in place at the March 2016 primary.

In February 2016 the U.S. Supreme Court had declined to block the new districts, which suggests that when the U.S. Supreme Court hears the case, it is likely to uphold the decision of the 3-judge U.S. District Court.

Independent Party of Oregon Sets Candidates for Party-Administered Presidential Primary

The Independent Party of Oregon is asking its members to participate in a party-administered presidential primary. Names on the ballot will be Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, and “None of the Above.” This primary is binding.

The party also had a government-administered presidential primary in May, but the party is not using those results.

Eleven Judges of Ninth Circuit Hear Oral Argument over Tucson’s Hybrid Election System

On June 21, eleven judges of the Ninth Circuit re-heard Public Integrity Alliance v City of Tucson, 15-16142. Tucson has partisan city elections. Each of the six wards has its own primary for city council. But in the general election, the entire city chooses between those nominees, plus any independent candidates who may be running. Here is a news story about the hearing. Republicans are unhappy with the system, because generally only the Democratic nominees ever win in the election itself. The voters and candidates who sued to overturn the system would prefer that each ward would choose its own councilmember in November, instead of having at-large elections.

Here is a news story about the hearing. The story does not provide any clues as to the outcome. The original Ninth Circuit panel had invalidated the system by a 2-1 vote, but then the city had prevailed in its attempt to get a rehearing en banc.

Four-Way Presidential General Election Polls

Two presidential polls were released on June 26 that include four candidates.

The ABC News/Washington Post poll is here. See question five. The results: Clinton 47%; Trump 37%; Johnson 7%; Stein 3%; other or none 4%; no opinion 3%.

The NBC News/Wall Street Journal results are provided in less detail: Clinton 39%; Trump 38%; Johnson 10%; Stein 6%; other or undecided 7%.