New Delaware Registration Data

Delaware has posted the number of registered voters in each party, qualified and unqualified alike. See the April 1, 2016 figures here.

Compared with the February 1, 2016 tally, the two major parties have grown and the number of independent and minor party voters has declined. This is probably because Delaware is holding a closed presidential primary on April 26, so people have had a reason to join the Democratic and Republican Parties. The only party, other than those two, that gained between February and April is the Independent Party, which went from .62% of the state total, to .63%. Democrats increased from 47.22% to 47.33%; Republicans increased from 27.97% to 28.06%.

For the last several months, voters have not been allowed to switch parties, but starting April 26, they can again switch parties. But then on May 28, they again can’t switch parties, until after the non-presidential primary in September is held. Therefore, during the next month, the two parties that hope to re-qualify for the ballot will carry out a registration drive. They are the Green Party (which now has 608 registrants) and the Constitution Party (which now has 323 registrants). They each need 653 registrants by August 20.

The only parties that have enough registrations now, besides the two major parties, are the Independent Party and the Libertarian Party. Between February and April, the Independent Party went from 4,033 registrants to 4,124; Libertarians declined from 1,191 to 1,174.

Jane Miller, Connecticut Republican who was Expelled from Party, Can’t Vote in Republican Presidential Primary

Jane Miller, a long-time Republican Party activist in Connecticut, has exhausted all avenues for regaining her ability to vote in the Connecticut Republican presidential primary of April 26. She was expelled from the party last year because in 2013 she had accepted a Democratic Party nomination for local office in Brookfield, where she lives.

She had filed lawsuits in both federal court and state court, and had made a last-ditch request to her local Republican Party, but so far nothing has worked. Here is an article about her April 18 hearing in front of the Republican Party registrar for Brookfield. The federal court had denied a temporary restraining order back on April 12, although the case is still alive. It is Miller v Dunkerton, 3:16v-174.

U.S. District Court in Tennessee Construes State Constitutional Provision on How Many Popular Votes Needed to Pass a Constitutional Amendment

On April 22, U.S. District Court Judge Kevin Sharp, an Obama appointee, issued a 52-page opinion in George v Wallace, m.d., 3:14cv-2182. The issue is how many votes a proposed state constitutional amendment needs to pass in Tennessee. The Tennessee Constitution says in Art. II, sec. 3, “If the people shall approve such amendment by a majority of all the citizens of the state voting for Governor, voting in their favor, such amendment shall become a part of that Constitution.”

For many decades, this was interpreted to mean that a constitutional amendment needs more “yes” votes than “no” votes to pass, and in addition the number of “yes” votes must be as great as 50% of the total vote cast for Governor, plus one. Ordinarily, more people cast votes for Governor than for any ballot measure. In midterm years, Governor is at the top of the Tennessee ballot, followed by statewide measures. Some voters only want to vote for Governor and don’t care about the measures. Requiring the measure to get at least as many votes as 50% of the gubernatorial vote seems intended to make sure that the measure won support from all the voters who showed up, not just 50% of the people who voted on the measure.

Surprisingly, though, Judge Sharp interpreted the Tennessee Constitution to mean that if a particular voter doesn’t vote for Governor, then that particular voter can’t vote for the ballot measures. If a voter who left Governor blank does vote for a ballot measure, then his or her vote doesn’t count. Judge Sharp says his interpretation of the meaning of the Tennessee Constitution is “the only interpretation”, and he says the Tennessee Constitution is “clear.”

Therefore, he ordered the state to recount the votes cast on Measure One from the November 2014 election, this time examining every ballot again and throwing out the votes cast on Amendment One by voters who skipped the gubernatorial race. The decision says the U.S. Constitution requires that elections be fair, and that it isn’t fair to ignore the plain meaning of the State Constitution.

The decision does not mention Partnoy v Shelley, 277 F Supp 2d 1064 (s.d., 2003), a U.S. District Court decision that struck down a California law that said, in a recall, voters who leave the recall question blank can’t then vote on the next part of the ballot. In a California recall election, the next part of the ballot asks voters who should replace the office-holder in case the recall wins. The decision in Partnoy says there is a constitutional right not to cast a vote, and a law disenfranchising voters who vote in the candidate half of the ballot, but prefer to skip the recall question, violates due process.

Amendment One in Tennessee in 2014 restricted abortion. The total vote cast for Governor in Tennessee in 2014 was 1,353,728. 50% of the gubernatorial vote is 676,864. Amendment One received 729,163 “yes” votes and 657,192 “no” votes.

If this decision is not overturned on appeal, it won’t be possible for the state to recount the votes and obtain perfectly accurate results, because in January 2015 a building storing the Van Buren County ballots burned down. Thanks to Rick Hasen for the link.

Thirty-six Years Ago Today, John B. Anderson Dropped out of Republican Race and Declared as an Independent

This blog post is being written on April 24, 2016. Exactly thirty-six years ago, on April 24, 1980, John B. Anderson, who had been seeking the Republican presidential nomination, declared that he was giving up the race for the Republican nomination and would instead run in the general election as an independent candidate. Anderson was very brave to do that, but his courage paid off.

He had already missed the petition deadline in five states: Kentucky, Maine, Maryland, New Mexico, and Ohio. Nevertheless, he circulated petitions in those states, along with the other states where he hadn’t missed the deadline. In July and August 1980 he won his lawsuits against the deadlines in those five states.

He also faced the problem that he hadn’t found a vice-presidential running mate. So he used a stand-in, Milton Eisenhower, who was 90 years old and was deceased President Eisenhower’s older brother. Anderson finally found his actual running mate on August 27, 1980, former Wisconsin Governor Patrick Lucey. By then petitions in almost all states had already been circulated with Eisenhower’s name on them. But Anderson’s attorneys persuaded almost all states to allow Eisenhower to withdraw and to have Lucey be replaced. Anderson sued three states that wouldn’t permit this (Florida, Indiana, and Pennsylvania) and won all those lawsuits.

Anderson had run in twenty Republican presidential primaries in 1980, and he faced charges that he was ineligible to get on the November ballot as an independent because he was a “sore loser”. But states almost entirely put him on the ballot, without any need for a lawsuit, because Anderson’s attorneys successfully argued that sore loser laws can’t apply to presidential primaries, because presidential primaries don’t nominate presidential candidates; instead they are elections for delegate to national conventions.

Anderson is still living. He is age 94 and is on the board of Fairvote, which works for proportional representation and instant-runoff voting.

Pennsylvania Can’t Give up its Habit of Challenging Petitions; Republican Delegate Candidates At Risk

This article explains that candidates for Delegate to the Republican national convention from Pennsylvania petition directly onto the primary ballot, independently of presidential candidates. Voters choose the delegates after voting for President. The article explains that many candidates for delegate are likely to face petition challenges. They each need 250 signatures. The constitutionality of the residency requirement for primary circulators is pending in federal court and is not settled yet.