San Diego Mayoral Election Will Proceed Even Though One of the Candidates May Not Be Eligible

San Diego elects its Mayor in a two-stage process. All candidates run in this non-partisan election on March 5, 2024. Then the two top vote-getters run against each other on November 5, even if someone got over 50% in March.

On February 20, a Superior Court ruled that Larry Turner should be on the March ballot, even though his residency has been challenged. There will be a trial about whether he lives in San Diego or El Cajon (a neighboring city) on March 29. The judge said the ballots for March have already been printed so there is no time to decide the eligibility issue now. The votes for Turner will be counted.

But if the trial shows that Turner is ineligible, and he placed either first or second, then in November his name will not be on the ballot and whoever placed third in March will be on the ballot. See this story.

New State Mid-Level State Court Agrees with Lower Court that New York City Can’t Let Non-Citizens Vote

On February 21, the New York State Supreme Court, Appellate Division, agreed with the loewr court that the New York State Constitution does not permit New York city to let non-citizens vote in elections for New York city office. Fossella v Adams. The decision had been pending since June 2023. Here is the opinion.

Fifteen Republican Party Officers in Minnesota Ask Permission to Intervene in Democratic Lawsuit that Attempts to Disqualify the Legal Marijuana Now Party

On February 21, fifteen officers of the Minnesota Republican Party filed this request to intervene in the lawsuit Martin v Simon, A24-0216. They argue that the 2023 law, requiring extra meetings and paperwork for ballot-qualified parties, might plausibly be used to disqualify the Republican Party.

Kansas Bill that Makes it More Difficult for Independent Candidates to get on Ballot Advances

On February 21, the Kansas House tentatively passed HB 2516, the bill to increase the statewide independent petition from 5,000 signatures to 2% of the last gubernatorial vote, about 21,000 signatures. It will get a final vote in the House on Thursday, February 22.

See this story. The bill’s author, Representative Paul Waggoner (R-Hutchinson) seems to think the best argument for this bill is rooted in the history of Kansas gubernatorial elections. What he doesn’t say is that Kansas required 2,500 signatures for statewide independent candidates in the years 1897 through 1991, and 5,000 signatures since then. Kansas elected its Governor every two years until 1974, and starting with 1974, the terms were four years.

Thus, Kansas has had 51 gubernatorial elections since petitions were first required. Out of those 51 elections, never has more than a single independent candidate been on the ballot for Governor. And in 42 of those elections, there were no independent candidates on the ballot for Governor. The years with one gubernatorial candidate on the ballot were 1914, 1924, 1932, 1938, 1964, 1966, 1970, 1990, and 2022.

The purpose of ballot access barriers is to keep the ballot from being too crowded. Obviously the old requirements have easily accomplished that goal.

The bill takes effect for this election, so independent candidates who are already petitioning now for president will have a strong due process lawsuit if the bill passes. In 1990, when the legislature increased the requirement from 2,500 to 5,000, the Secretary of State ruled that he would only require 2,500 for 1990, because he felt it wasn’t fair to increase the petition requirement in the middle of petitioning season. He made that decision on August 29. There are court precedents from other states that it violates due process to increase the ballot access barriers in the middle of petitioning season, and one of them, Hudler v Austin, was affirmed by the U.S. Supreme Court in 1976.

Michigan Republican Party is Divided into Two Factions

The Michigan Republican Party has two factions, each with its own set of officers. Most of the delegates to the Republican national convention are determined by the state convention, not the presidential primary, so there may be two competing sets of delegates sent to the national convention in Milwaukee in July. However a court may also resolve the dispute. See this story.

The last time a major party had two factions, each with its own nominees, was in the 1930’s, when the Mississippi Republican Party had two factions, each of which put competing slates of presidential elector candidates on the general election ballot. The two factions were called the “Lily White Republican Party” and the “Black-and-Tans Republican Party.” The split had no effect on who won, because back then the Democratic Party was overwhelmingly dominant in the state.