Nebraska Likely to Cast a Split Electoral College Vote

According to this report, the 2nd U.S. House district of Nebraska is somewhat likely to vote for Barack Obama. Nebraska is one of two states in which each U.S. House district elects its own elector. McCain is leading by 569 votes in the 2nd district, but a very large number of early votes remain to be counted, and so far Obama has been far ahead of McCain in the already-counted early votes in Nebraska.

That would make the Nebraska electoral vote this year 4 for McCain and 1 for Obama. Nebraska has 3 U.S. House districts, and of course it has two at-large electors.

Independents Also Elected to Legislature in South Dakota, Maine, and Vermont

Blog posts in the last two days have covered cases in which independent candidates were elected on November 4 to state legislatures in Wisconsin, Massachusetts, and Rhode Island. Also minor parties elected members in Vermont and Arkansas.

In addition, an independent was elected to the South Dakota State Senate, the first time that has happened since 1964. However, the winner, Tom Dempster of Sioux Falls, is actually a registered Republican who failed to file in time for the Republican primary. Fortunately for him, South Dakota has no laws that prevented him from then petitioning as an independent candidate. He defeated his Democratic opponent 5,108 to 4,660.

In Maine, independent House member Thomas Saviello was re-elected as an independent, in the 90th district in Wilton. He easily defeated his only opponent, Democratic nominee Maxine Collins.

In Vermont, besides the Progressives, three independents were elected or re-elected to the State House. Details are lacking on who they are; if anyone knows, please comment. The National Conference of State Legislatures is the source of the information that three independents as well as four Progressives were elected to the Vermont House on November 4.

First Independent Elected to Wisconsin Legislature Since 1932

On November 4, Wisconsin voters of the 67th Assembly district re-elected Jeff Wood to his fourth term. His first three terms were as a Republican, but this year, he ran as an independent. Wood had a ballot-listed Republican opponent, Don Moga, and the November vote was close. The unofficial results are: Wood 12,388, Moga 12,213.

Wood became disenchanted with the Republican Party in July 2008, so when he filed for re-election, he did so as an independent. Since the Republican Party had expected him to file as a Republican, it had not recruited anyone else to run, and no one appeared on the Republican primary ballot in September. However, Wisconsin permits write-in votes in primaries, and Moga launched a write-in campaign for the Republican nomination. Wisconsin law makes it difficult for any write-in candidate to win a partisan primary. Moga needed a number of write-ins equal to 5% of the Republican gubernatorial vote in November 2006, which was 485 write-ins. However, he met that goal with 1,184 write-ins, and thus was on the November ballot. But, he lost to the independent nominee.

No independent had been elected to either branch of the Wisconsin legislature since 1932. However, there were many Progressive Party nominees elected to the Wisconsin legislature during the period 1934-1944, and Socialists during the same decade. Here is a newspaper story about the Wood victory.